BracketologyGPT’s BRI ACC Conference Tournament Projections
(Numbers indicate conference tournament seedings)

The 2025 Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) Men’s Basketball Tournament is scheduled from March 11 to March 15, 2025, at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina.

First Round – Tuesday, March 11

No. 12 Notre Dame vs. No. 13 Pittsburgh
Prediction: Notre Dame
Likelihood: 60%
Rationale: Notre Dame has shown resilience in recent games, including a four-overtime victory against California, indicating strong endurance and performance under pressure.

No. 10 Virginia Tech vs. No. 15 California
Prediction: Virginia Tech
Likelihood: 75%
Rationale: Virginia Tech’s overall stronger season performance suggests a clear advantage over California.

No. 11 Florida State vs. No. 14 Syracuse
Prediction: Florida State
Likelihood: 65%
Rationale: Florida State’s better conference record and more consistent play throughout the season give them the edge in this matchup.

Second Round – Wednesday, March 12

No. 8 Georgia Tech vs. No. 9 Virginia
Prediction: Georgia Tech
Likelihood: 55%
Rationale: This is expected to be a close game but Georgia Tech’s slightly better seeding and recent performances provide a marginal advantage.

No. 5 North Carolina vs. No. 12 Notre Dame
Prediction: North Carolina
Likelihood: 70%
Rationale: North Carolina’s higher seed and stronger season performance position them well against Notre Dame.

No. 7 Stanford vs. No. 10 Virginia Tech
Prediction: Stanford
Likelihood: 55%
Rationale: Stanford has been inconsistent this season but has shown flashes of strong play, particularly against top-tier competition. Virginia Tech is a tough opponent but Stanford has the edge in offensive efficiency.

No. 6 SMU vs. No. 11 Florida State
Prediction: SMU
Likelihood: 60%
Rationale: SMU has had a solid season in its first year in the ACC and its balanced offensive attack should be enough to get past Florida State.

Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 13

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 8 Georgia Tech
Prediction: Duke
Likelihood: 85%
Rationale: Duke has been the most dominant team in the ACC this season and should have no trouble advancing past Georgia Tech.

No. 4 Wake Forest vs. No. 5 North Carolina
Prediction: North Carolina
Likelihood: 60%
Rationale: This will be a tight game but UNC’s experience and deeper roster should help them get past Wake Forest.

No. 2 Louisville vs. No. 7 Stanford
Prediction: Louisville
Likelihood: 70%
Rationale: Louisville has been one of the strongest teams in the ACC this year and should be able to handle Stanford.

No. 3 Clemson vs. No. 6 SMU
Prediction: Clemson
Likelihood: 65%
Rationale: Clemson’s physicality and ability to control the tempo make them the favorite in this matchup.

Semifinals – Friday, March 14

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 5 North Carolina
Prediction: Duke
Likelihood: 60%
Rationale: A classic ACC rivalry game but Duke has been the more consistent team this season and should be able to outlast UNC.

No. 2 Louisville vs. No. 3 Clemson
Prediction: Louisville
Likelihood: 55%
Rationale: This should be a close game but Louisville’s ability to execute in late-game situations gives them a slight edge.

Championship – Saturday, March 15

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 2 Louisville
Prediction: Duke
Likelihood: 65%
Rationale: Duke has been the best team in the ACC all season. Its balanced attack and strong defensive play make Duke likely to win this year’s ACC tournament.